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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are a heavy 14.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Arizona Cardinals to pass on 68.1% of their chances: the greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to have 133.9 plays on offense run: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The 4th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Arizona Cardinals this year (a colossal 60.2 per game on average).
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may decline.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Carter's 38.3% Route% this season signifies a noteworthy decrease in his pass attack workload over last season's 56.6% rate.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the importance it has on all passing attack metrics), the O-line of the Cardinals profiles as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
  • Michael Carter's 75.3% Adjusted Completion Rate this season shows a substantial decline in his pass-catching prowess over last season's 100.0% mark.
  • With a poor 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (3rd percentile) this year, Michael Carter ranks as one of the leading pass-catching running backs in football in space.
  • This year, the imposing Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded a puny 78.1% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing RBs: the 6th-lowest rate in the NFL.

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