My Account Log Out
 
 
Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-116/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Cardinals are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Cardinals to pass on 62.4% of their plays: the 3rd-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.
  • This week, Michael Carter is predicted by our trusted projection set to find himself in the 88th percentile among running backs with 4.0 targets.
  • In regards to air yards, Michael Carter grades out in the towering 98th percentile among running backs this year, averaging a striking 7.0 per game. (because they are often targeted behind the line of scrimmage, this is much more impressive than it sounds since most RBs wind up with negative air yards).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • Michael Carter's 38.3% Route Participation% this year marks an impressive decrease in his passing attack workload over last year's 56.6% mark.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year.
  • Michael Carter's 78.9% Adjusted Completion Rate this season indicates a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching talent over last season's 100.0% figure.
  • Michael Carter comes in as one of the weakest running backs in the NFL at generating extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 3rd percentile.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™