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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Michael Carter Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-112/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -112.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be starting backup QB Jacoby Brissett in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • At a -9.5-point disadvantage, the Cardinals are huge underdogs this week, implying much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their standard game plan.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cardinals to pass on 66.5% of their chances: the greatest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 133.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Arizona Cardinals have run the most plays in the league this year, averaging a staggering 61.8 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Michael Carter has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this year (32.5% Route% in games he has played) than he did last year (56.6%).
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Arizona Cardinals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the league this year.
  • Michael Carter's receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% falling off from 100.0% to 83.7%.
  • Michael Carter rates as one of the worst RBs in the league at picking up extra yardage in the passing game, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 2nd percentile.
  • The Los Angeles Rams pass defense has conceded the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (80.7%) to RBs this year (80.7%).

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