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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Arizona Cardinals vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Michael Carter Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-118).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme running game script for the Cardinals, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7.5 points.
  • Michael Carter has been given 40.0% of his offense's run game usage since the start of last season, placing him in the 81st percentile among RBs.
  • The Titans safeties profile as the 31st-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year when it comes to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Arizona Cardinals to be the 9th-least run-focused team in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 37.4% run rate.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 5th-fewest plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

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