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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Michael Carter Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+110/-143).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -143.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Arizona Cardinals offense to be the 3rd-fastest paced team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 26.67 seconds per snap.
  • The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and worse passing efficiency.
  • The leading projections forecast Michael Carter to be a more integral piece of his team's ground game in this week's game (45.9% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (31.5% in games he has played).
  • The Cincinnati Bengals safeties profile as the 32nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Cardinals are an enormous 7-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to run on 37.6% of their chances: the lowest frequency on the slate this week.

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