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Michael Carter

Michael Carter Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Arizona Cardinals vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Michael Carter Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 130.9 plays, based on the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Cardinals have run the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 61.1 plays per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals will be rolling out backup quarterback Jacoby Brissett in this game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cardinals to run on 36.8% of their chances: the 3rd-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • After taking on 47.9% of his team's rushing play calls last year, Michael Carter has had a smaller role in the rushing attack this year, now comprising just 27.7%.
  • The Jaguars linebackers rank as the 7th-best group of LBs in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

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