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Mecole Hardman

Mecole Hardman Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Mecole Hardman Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-217/+165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +177 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to have the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Buccaneers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 4th-most passes in football (38.6 per game) this year.
  • The Kansas City Chiefs O-line profiles as the 2nd-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a positive impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • With a fantastic 73.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (81st percentile) since the start of last season, Mecole Hardman ranks among the most reliable receivers in the NFL among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Chiefs are a huge 8.5-point favorite this week, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Kansas City Chiefs as the least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 56.9% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • With a high 16.5% Route Participation% (11th percentile) this year, Mecole Hardman places among the WRs with the most usage in football.
  • The Tampa Bay cornerbacks project as the best collection of CBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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