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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2500/-14500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -5250 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -14500.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 35.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most among all QBs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

Matthew Stafford has been among the best TD passers in the NFL this year, averaging a terrific 1.57 per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

Opposing offenses have run for the 2nd-most TDs in the league (1.60 per game) versus the Ravens defense this year.

The Baltimore defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

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