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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Matthew Stafford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+2200/-2600).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4400 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -2600.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (62.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 69.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 37.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most among all quarterbacks.

Matthew Stafford has been one of the best touchdown passers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 1.60 per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

This year, the formidable 49ers defense has conceded a paltry 1.25 TDs through the air per game to opposing QBs: the 7th-smallest rate in the NFL.

The San Francisco 49ers linebackers profile as the best group of LBs in football this year in pass coverage.

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