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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+3100/-4400).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -4400 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -4400.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to throw 37.7 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.
  • Accounting for a measly 1.5% of his team's red zone rushing play calls this year (22nd percentile when it comes to QBs), Matthew Stafford's immobility makes him no threat in Los Angeles's rushing attack near the goal line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the strong Seahawks defense has allowed a mere 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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