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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+950/-2200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +1700 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +950.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams as the 3rd-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 62.8% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • In this contest, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projections to average the 3rd-most pass attempts among all QBs with 39.6.
  • Matthew Stafford is not much of a runner and has accounted for a measly 1.7% of his team's carries near the end zone this year, placing him in the 24th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-lowest level in the league vs. the Lions defense this year (66.1% Adjusted Completion%).

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