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Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+148/-162).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +164 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +148.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.

Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to average the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.9.

With an excellent ratio of 2.42 per game (100th percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the top TD passers in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.

The Carolina Panthers defense has allowed the 7th-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.18 per game this year.

The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

More Matthew Stafford Player Props

Matthew Stafford TD PassesPlayer Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 19