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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 18

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+136/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +132 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to pass on 59.0% of their downs: the 9th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 67.5 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 37.6 passes in this week's game, on balance: the 3rd-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Matthew Stafford has been among the best TD throwers in the NFL this year, averaging a fantastic 2.33 per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on running than their standard approach.
  • The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the 10th-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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