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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to throw 37.7 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.
  • The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.
  • Matthew Stafford has been one of the top TD passers in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 2.31 per game while ranking in the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the strong Seahawks defense has allowed a mere 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.
  • The Seattle Seahawks defense has surrendered the 8th-fewest passing TDs in the league: 1.21 per game this year.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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