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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 13

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most pass-centric offense in football (64.6% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Rams.
  • Matthew Stafford has attempted 32.2 throws per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • With a terrific ratio of 2.50 per game (100th percentile), Matthew Stafford ranks among the best TD passers in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Rams, who are overwhelmingly favored by 10 points.
  • Based on the game dynamics and play styles of each team, our trusted projections expect this game (with an average of 26.54 seconds per play) will play at the 11th-most sluggish pace out of all the games this week.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all passing game metrics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 9th-worst in the league this year.
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has yielded the 7th-fewest passing touchdowns in football: 1.17 per game this year.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, Carolina's CB corps has been very good this year, profiling as the 8th-best in the league.

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