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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford TD Passes
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-190).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Rams to pass on 60.6% of their chances: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Right now, the 9th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL near the goal line (58.2% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Los Angeles Rams.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 136.1 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • In this contest, Matthew Stafford is expected by the model to average the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.3.
  • Matthew Stafford has been among the top touchdown throwers in the NFL this year, averaging an outstanding 2.33 per game while checking in at the 100th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

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