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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+117/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +121 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

Opposing teams have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (152 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.

The Baltimore defensive ends rank as the 3rd-worst unit in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Rams to run on 42.2% of their opportunities: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

This week, Matthew Stafford is expected by the projection model to accrue the 4th-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 2.0.

Matthew Stafford is not a mobile QB and has accounted for a measly 4.4% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile when it comes to QBs.

With an awful tally of 1.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (8th percentile), Matthew Stafford has been among the bottom running QBs in football this year.

Matthew Stafford's running efficiency (2.36 adjusted yards per carry) has been some of the worst in football since the start of last season (15th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks).

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