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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 69.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to be the 10th-least run-heavy offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 38.0% run rate.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

This week, Matthew Stafford is predicted by the predictive model to accumulate the 4th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.0.

Matthew Stafford is not a mobile quarterback and has accounted for just 4.1% of his team's carries this year, putting him in the 19th percentile when it comes to QBs.

With a lousy total of 1.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (2nd percentile), Matthew Stafford places among the bottom rushing QBs in the NFL this year.

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