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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+125/-152).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • The Panthers linebackers rank as the 2nd-worst unit in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At the present time, the least run-heavy team in the league (35.3% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Rams.
  • Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to garner 1.7 rush attempts in this game, on average: the fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Comprising a mere 2.7% of his offense's run game usage this year (2nd percentile among QBs), Matthew Stafford's immobility makes him no threat on the ground.
  • With a very bad record of 1.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (2nd percentile), Matthew Stafford rates as one of the worst rushing QBs in the league this year.
  • Matthew Stafford's 1.92 adjusted yards per carry (YPC) this season conveys a substantial reduction in his rushing talent over last season's 2.79 figure.

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