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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Los Angeles Rams vs Detroit Lions

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+162/-214).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +179 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +162.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a 5.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The model projects this game to see the 4th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 134.9 plays, accounting for the approaches of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 37.2% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The 8th-lowest number of plays in football have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a lowly 54.7 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The model projects Matthew Stafford to garner 1.7 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 4th-fewest out of all quarterbacks.
  • Matthew Stafford is not much of a runner and has accounted for a lowly 2.3% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 5th percentile among QBs.

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