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Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+155/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -161 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 135.6 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.

The San Francisco 49ers defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to run on 39.7% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.

In this game, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the 8th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.0.

Matthew Stafford is not much of a rusher and has accounted for just 3.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 11th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

Matthew Stafford has averaged a measly 1.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL among quarterbacks (7th percentile).

Matthew Stafford's rushing efficiency has diminished this season, averaging just 1.31 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 2.79 rate last season.

More Matthew Stafford Player Props

Matthew Stafford Rushing YardsPlayer Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 10