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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 251.5 (-118/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 251.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 251.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, Matthew Stafford is anticipated by the model to average the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.5.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

Matthew Stafford ranks as one of the best passers in football this year, averaging a remarkable 239.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 87th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest clip in the league against the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year (65.6% Adjusted Completion%).

The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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