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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs San Francisco 49ers

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 234.5 (-111/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 235.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 234.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 10th-most pass-focused offense in the league (62.0% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the projections to call 69.0 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number among all teams this week.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower rush volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

The projections expect Matthew Stafford to attempt 37.6 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most among all quarterbacks.

With a stellar rate of 213.0 adjusted passing yards per game (88th percentile), Matthew Stafford has been as one of the top quarterbacks in the league this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on running than their usual game plan.

Opposing QBs teams have been unwilling to test the pass defense of the San Francisco 49ers, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 30.0 per game) this year.

The Los Angeles offensive line ranks as the 3rd-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.

Opposing QBs have passed for the 4th-fewest yards in football (just 171.0 adjusted yards per game) versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.

Since the start of last season, the strong 49ers defense has surrendered the 2nd-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to the opposing side: a paltry 7.0 yards.

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