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Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (+120/-160).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 233.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 235.5 @ +120.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The leading projections forecast the Rams to be the 4th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.The model projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to throw 37.7 passes this week, on balance: the 5th-most out of all QBs.The Seahawks defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, inducing opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the NFL (38.4 per game) this year.With an outstanding rate of 241.0 adjusted passing yards per game (92nd percentile), Matthew Stafford places among the top QBs in the league this year.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The weather report calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year.This year, the strong Seahawks defense has allowed a mere 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing teams: the 7th-best rate in the NFL.This year, the tough Seahawks defense has allowed the least adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing squads: a measly 6.5 yards.When it comes to safeties in covering pass-catchers, Seattle's safety corps has been one of the most skilled this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the NFL.
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