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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Rams vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 265.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 263.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 265.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Right now, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.3% in a neutral context) according to our trusted projection set is the Rams.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are projected by the projection model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-most on the slate this week.
  • The weather report calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this contest, Matthew Stafford is projected by the predictive model to have the 5th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 37.7.
  • With an outstanding total of 244.0 adjusted passing yards per game (89th percentile), Matthew Stafford has been as one of the top quarterbacks in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 6.5-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of a reliance on rushing than their usual game plan.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the imposing Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has yielded a paltry 67.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 9th-lowest rate in the NFL.
  • The Buccaneers safeties project as the best collection of safeties in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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