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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 261.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 262.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 261.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Rams to pass on 60.3% of their chances: the 8th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 135.6 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • In this contest, Matthew Stafford is expected by the model to average the 2nd-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.0.
  • With a terrific record of 223.0 adjusted passing yards per game (88th percentile), Matthew Stafford stands as one of the top quarterbacks in the NFL this year.
  • With a stellar 8.15 adjusted yards-per-target (87th percentile) this year, Matthew Stafford has been as one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Rams are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 4th-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • This year, the daunting 49ers defense has allowed the 7th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing teams: a measly 7.1 yards.

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