Matthew Stafford Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Matthew Stafford

NFL · Player Props

Matthew Stafford

QB · Los Angeles Rams

Pass Attempts

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 3, 2023

Updated Sep 26, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Matthew Stafford Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-130/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Matthew Stafford has attempted 37.6 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile among quarterbacks.

Favors Under

The projections expect the Rams to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions this week.

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