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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Interceptions
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -124.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 5th-most pass-centric team in the league (63.2% context-neutralized) according to the projections is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 total plays in this game: the 6th-most on the slate this week.

In this week's contest, Matthew Stafford is anticipated by the model to average the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.5.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.2 pass attempts per game against the Jaguars defense this year: 5th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

In throwing a measly 0.30 interceptions per game this year, Matthew Stafford slots in among the leading quarterbacks in the league (77th percentile).

The Jaguars have intercepted 1.68 targets per game this year, grading out as the best defense in the NFL by this statistic.

The Jaguars linebackers grade out as the best LB corps in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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