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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Interceptions
Player Prop Week 2

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to run 65.6 plays on offense in this game: the 4th-highest number among all teams this week.
  • The passing games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Rams being a 5.5-point favorite this week.
  • The Rams rank as the 10th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 59.1% pass rate.
  • Los Angeles's passing stats since the start of last season may be artificially propped up a bit (and rushing stats decreased) considering playing the 3rd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL. We figure to be able to expect some regression with windier conditions in this week's game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 27.9 pass attempts per game versus the Tennessee Titans defense since the start of last season: fewest in the league.
  • When it comes to pass protection (and the significance it has on all air attack statistics), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams profiles as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season.

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