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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Interceptions
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Buffalo Bills

Matthew Stafford Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-175/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -175.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 2nd-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 65.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 64.6 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The forecast calls for 1-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Matthew Stafford to attempt 39.7 passes in this week's game, on average: the 4th-most of all QBs.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which should lead to lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced passing offense efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

The Buffalo Bills have intercepted 1.00 targets per game since the start of last season, ranking as the 5th-best defense in the league by this stat.

The Buffalo Bills safeties rank as the best collection of safeties in the league since the start of last season in pass coverage.

The Los Angeles Rams have used play action on just 21.0% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

The Los Angeles Rams have risked going for it on 4th down a lowly 14.7% of the time since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), which usually means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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