My Account Log Out

reorder

Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Completions
Player Prop Week 6

Baltimore Ravens vs Los Angeles Rams

Matthew Stafford Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -129.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 6th-most pass-focused offense in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Los Angeles Rams.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 131.1 plays on offense called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.

The model projects Matthew Stafford to throw 35.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-most among all QBs.

Opposing QBs have averaged 41.2 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.

This year, the porous Baltimore Ravens defense has surrendered a whopping 76.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the 4th-highest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Rams are heavily favored this week, suggesting much more of an emphasis on rushing than their usual approach.

The weatherman calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.

When talking about pass-blocking (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Rams ranks as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year.

The Ravens safeties profile as the 9th-best collection of safeties in the league this year in covering receivers.

More Matthew Stafford Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™