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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Completions
Player Prop Week 19

Carolina Panthers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+114/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 64.7% pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • In this week's game, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the projection model to average the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 35.9.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme rushing game script is suggested by the Rams being a huge 10.5-point favorite in this game.
  • The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Carolina Panthers, totaling the 6th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.8 per game) this year.
  • The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks grade out as the 7th-best group of CBs in football this year in covering pass-catchers.

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