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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+135/-185).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -175 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Rams, who are a huge favorite by 14 points.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 141.0 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in stopping the run, New Orleans's unit has been terrible this year, profiling as the 3rd-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Rams to be the 4th-least run-oriented team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 35.7% run rate.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being predicted in this game) typically cause better passing efficiency, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The model projects Matthew Stafford to earn 2.4 carries in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Taking on just 4.3% of his offense's run game usage this year (18th percentile when it comes to QBs), Matthew Stafford's lack of mobility makes him no threat on the ground.

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