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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Rams are favored in this week's game, indicating more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 68.0 total plays in this game: the 3rd-most on the slate this week.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Los Angeles Rams to run on 41.1% of their plays: the 9th-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect Matthew Stafford to garner 2.3 carries in this week's game, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Making up a measly 4.7% of his offense's rush attempts this year (18th percentile among QBs), Matthew Stafford's one-dimensionality makes him no threat in Los Angeles's rushing attack.
  • The Jaguars safeties project as the 6th-best collection of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.

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