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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Atlanta Falcons vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-116/-116).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely creating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 133.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Atlanta Falcons defensive tackles project as the worst unit in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 37.8% of their plays: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • In this game, Matthew Stafford is expected by the model to accumulate the 3rd-fewest rush attempts among all quarterbacks with 1.8.
  • Making up just 2.8% of his team's carries this year (5th percentile when it comes to QBs), Matthew Stafford's lack of speed makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.

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