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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Carries
Player Prop Week 14

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-141).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 9.5-point advantage, the Rams are a huge favorite in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on running than their standard approach.
  • The projections expect this game to see the most plays run out of all the games this week at 133.5 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Los Angeles Rams to run on 39.7% of their chances: the 5th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The Rams have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 54.4 plays per game.
  • The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • The predictive model expects Matthew Stafford to accrue 1.8 carries in this game, on balance: the 4th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Making up a mere 2.5% of his team's run game usage this year (2nd percentile when it comes to QBs), Matthew Stafford's immobility makes him no threat with his legs.

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