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Matthew Stafford

Matthew Stafford Carries
Player Prop Week 10

San Francisco 49ers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Matthew Stafford Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams are a 4.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is projected by the model to have 135.7 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The San Francisco 49ers defensive tackles grade out as the 4th-worst collection of DTs in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Rams to run on 39.7% of their plays: the 8th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • In this game, Matthew Stafford is forecasted by the predictive model to accrue the 8th-fewest carries among all QBs with 2.0.
  • Matthew Stafford is not much of a rusher and has accounted for just 3.5% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 11th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

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