reorder

Matthew Golden Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Matthew Golden Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+620/-800).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +650 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +620.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the highest rate in football against the Bears defense this year (73.9% Adjusted Completion%).

The Chicago Bears defense has conceded the most TDs through the air in the league to WRs: 1.18 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

With a 51.5% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 6th-most run-heavy team in the NFL in this setting has been the Green Bay Packers.

The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

More Matthew Golden Player Props

Matthew Golden TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Matthew Golden Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 19