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Matthew Golden

Matthew Golden Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Matthew Golden Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+740/-1250).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -970 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -1250.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 54.6% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 3rd-most run-oriented offense in football under these circumstances has been the Green Bay Packers.
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.
  • This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has yielded a measly 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Broncos defense has surrendered the fewest TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.38 per game this year.
  • When it comes to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Denver's collection of DEs has been awful this year, ranking as the 3rd-worst in the league. in the league.

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