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Matthew Golden

Matthew Golden Receptions
Player Prop Week 18

Minnesota Vikings vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Matthew Golden Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-165/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -165.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Packers may take to the air less in this week's contest (and hand the ball off more) given that they be rolling with backup quarterback Clayton Tune.
  • This week's spread implies a passing game script for the Packers, who are -6.5-point underdogs.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Packers to pass on 61.9% of their plays: the 2nd-highest frequency among all teams this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • The Minnesota Vikings linebackers profile as the 7th-worst group of LBs in the NFL this year in defending receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Packers to run the fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 60.9 plays, based on their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Green Bay Packers have run the 10th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a lowly 55.3 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 29.1 pass attempts per game versus the Vikings defense this year: fewest in the league.

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