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Matthew Golden

Matthew Golden Receptions
Player Prop Week 12

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Matthew Golden Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Minnesota Vikings safeties rank as the 7th-worst unit in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Packers being a 6-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers to be the 7th-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 54.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • At the present time, the 6th-most sluggish paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the model is the Packers.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 5th-fewest in football.

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