Matt Ryan Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Matt Ryan

NFL · Player Props

Matt Ryan

QB · Indianapolis Colts

Passing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Indianapolis Colts · Week 7, 2022

Updated Oct 23, 2022 4:56 PM EST

Analysis

Matt Ryan Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 249.5 (-104/-131).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 252.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 249.5 @ -131.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Indianapolis Colts as the 8th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 60.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 65.5 plays per game.
Matt Ryan has attempted 44.6 passes per game this year, checking in at the 95th percentile among quarterbacks.
Matt Ryan has thrown for significantly more yards per game (296.0) this season than he did last season (235.0).
Opposing teams have thrown for the most yards in the league (322.0 per game) vs. the Tennessee Titans defense this year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Colts to run the 6th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 62.0 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Indianapolis Colts offensive line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game stats across the board.
The Tennessee Titans have stacked the box against opponents on just 10.1% of their plays since the start of last season, 3rd-least in the league. Choosing not to keep an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Indianapolis Colts have gone no-huddle on a lowly 2.7% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (5th-least in the NFL). This slows the pace, resulting in less volume and stat accumulation.

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