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Matt Breida

Matt Breida Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Giants

Matt Breida Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the New York Giants as the 6th-most run-centric team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 42.8% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 135.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The New York Giants have run the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 61.6 plays per game.

The Dallas Cowboys defensive tackles profile as the 6th-worst collection of DTs in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

The New York Giants have gone no-huddle on 30.1% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-most in football). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants are a 3-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

Matt Breida has been on the field for 18.4% of his team's snaps this year, ranking him in the 23rd percentile among running backs.

The New York Giants O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year at run-game blocking.

Matt Breida's ground efficiency has declined this year, compiling just 3.03 yards-per-carry vs a 4.90 figure last year.

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