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Matt Breida

Matt Breida Carries
Player Prop Week 5

Miami Dolphins vs New York Giants

Matt Breida Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+110/-140).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the New York Giants offense as the 9th-fastest paced team in football (in a neutral context) right now, averaging 27.57 seconds per snap.

The model projects Matt Breida to accrue 13.7 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile when it comes to RBs.

The leading projections forecast Matt Breida to be a much smaller part of his team's run game in this game (14.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (24.7% in games he has played).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Giants are a huge 13-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants as the 6th-least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 38.0% run rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

The Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-worst in the NFL last year at opening holes for rushers.

The Miami Dolphins safeties rank as the 5th-best unit in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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