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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+265/-300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +270 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +265.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Denver Broncos to be the 6th-most pass-focused team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 60.0% red zone pass rate.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (a massive 60.3 per game on average).
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • While Marvin Mims Jr. has garnered 2.9% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Denver's offense near the end zone in this contest at 10.0%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 78.0% to 69.9%.
  • With an exceptional ratio of 0.12 touchdowns on the ground per game (95th percentile), Marvin Mims Jr. stands as one of the best rushing TD-scorers in the league among WRs and TEs this year.
  • As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Dallas's collection of LBs has been atrocious this year, grading out as the worst in football. in football.

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