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Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+400/-600).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -495 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -600.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Broncos may throw the ball less in this contest (and call more rushes) given that they be rolling with backup QB Jarrett Stidham.

The Broncos are a 4-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

Right now, the 7th-most pass-focused team in the NFL in the red zone (59.6% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Denver Broncos.

Our trusted projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

After averaging 21.0 air yards per game last year, Marvin Mims Jr. has undergone big improvement this year, currently boasting 34.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.1 pass attempts per game against the Patriots defense this year: fewest in the NFL.

The Broncos are willing to include receivers in their ground game, and Marvin Mims Jr. has garnered 1.6% of red zone carries this year (0th when it comes to wide receivers).

With a feeble 3.5% Red Zone Target Share (24th percentile) this year, Marvin Mims Jr. places as one of the wideouts with the biggest workloads near the goal line in football.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s 71.4% Adjusted Completion% this season represents a substantial diminishment in his pass-catching talent over last season's 78.0% figure.

Marvin Mims Jr. ranks in the 24th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a mere 0.06 per game.

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr. TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 21

Denver Broncos vs New England Patriots

Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 21