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Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+475/-770).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -760 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -770.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-heavy offense in the league near the goal line (60.0% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Denver Broncos.

The predictive model expects this game to see the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 135.3 plays, based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

Marvin Mims Jr. has accrued far more air yards this season (46.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

Marvin Mims Jr.'s 28.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly higher this season than it was last season at 20.3.

The Broncos offensive line ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a positive impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 6-point advantage, the Broncos are favored in this week's game, suggesting more of a reliance on running than their usual approach.

The Broncos are willing to include receivers in their running game, and Marvin Mims Jr. has been given 2.9% of red zone carries this year (0th when it comes to WRs).

Marvin Mims Jr.'s sure-handedness have worsened this season, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 78.0% to 67.5%.

Marvin Mims Jr. has run for 0.10 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the biggest marks in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers and tight ends (96th percentile).

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr. TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 13

Washington Commanders vs Denver Broncos

Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13