Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+365/-435).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 4th-most pass-centric offense in football in the red zone (60.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Broncos.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Denver Broncos are projected by the projection model to call 66.8 plays on offense in this contest: the 6th-highest number on the slate this week.

The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a massive 58.7 per game on average).

The leading projections forecast Marvin Mims Jr. to be much more involved in his offense's air attack near the end zone this week (7.7% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (2.5% in games he has played).

Marvin Mims Jr. has accumulated many more air yards this season (52.0 per game) than he did last season (21.0 per game).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 9-point advantage, the Broncos are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on running than their normal game plan.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s receiving reliability have tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Catch% decreasing from 78.0% to 67.8%.

Marvin Mims Jr. has run for 0.11 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers and tight ends (92nd percentile).

This year, the feeble Raiders run defense has conceded a staggering 1.50 rushing TDs per game to opposing squads: the highest rate in the league.

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr. TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 10

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Marvin Mims Jr. Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10