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Marvin Mims Jr.

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Denver Broncos vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-133/+126).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -133.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the highest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 134.2 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 8th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Denver Broncos this year (a massive 60.3 per game on average).
  • The Cowboys defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, inciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (37.9 per game) this year.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s 36.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that quantifies high-value offensive volume) has been substantially higher this year than it was last year at 20.3.
  • As it relates to protecting the quarterback (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack statistics), the offensive line of the Broncos profiles as the 2nd-best in the NFL this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Broncos are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The model projects the Broncos as the 9th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 56.2% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Marvin Mims Jr.'s sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 78.0% to 69.9%.

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