reorder

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-152).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -152.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the model to have 135.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-highest number out of all the games this week.

The 10th-most plays in the league have been called by the Denver Broncos this year (a colossal 58.5 per game on average).

The New York Giants defense has been a well-known pass funnel this year, eliciting opposing quarterbacks to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.7 per game) this year.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s 36.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 20.3.

The Denver offensive line ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing game statistics across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 8.5-point advantage, the Broncos are a huge favorite in this week's game, suggesting much more of a focus on running than their usual approach.

Our trusted projections expect the Denver Broncos to be the 9th-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 55.0% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Marvin Mims Jr.'s ball-catching skills have diminished this year, with his Adjusted Completion% shrinking from 78.0% to 66.9%.

When it comes to linebackers getting after the quarterback, New York's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the 5th-best in the NFL.

More Marvin Mims Jr. Player Props

Marvin Mims Jr. ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

Marvin Mims Jr. Receptions
Player Prop Week 7